The South African rand weakened slightly in early trade on Monday, as the dollar held near a two-week low with investors paring back Federal Reserve hike bets and oil prices slipping after OPEC+ agreed to raise output targets.

  • At 0623 GMT, the rand traded at 16.2525 against the dollar FX_IDC:USDZAR, about 0.2% weaker than its previous close.

  • The U.S. dollar TVC:DXY steadied near a two-week low as investors scaled back bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike this year, while oil prices inched lower after OPEC+ agreed to further increase its output targets from August, while exports from key producers via the Strait of Hormuz were recovering.

  • ETM Analytics said in a note that the rand's near-term outlook had improved as the U.S. rate hike fears eased, but that the currency's strength was still being framed as conditional rather than structural.

  • "Whether investors still hold the same appetite to expose their portfolios to South Africa remains debatable," it said.

  • Like other risk-sensitive currencies, the rand often takes cues from global drivers.

  • South Africa-focused investors' attention will be on manufacturing (ZAMAN=ECI) data due on Thursday for cues on the health of Africa's most industrialised economy.

  • South Africa's benchmark 2035 government bond (ZAR2035=) was steady in early deals, with the yield unchanged at 8.2%.