The probability for the New York Mets option in Polymarket’s submarket for the New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians event, "spread -1.5," rose sharply from 16.5% one hour earlier to 33.45%, according to Catcher Predict monitoring. According to ChainCatcher, the move reflects a 16.95% swing and may…
Genius Sports Limited (“Genius Sports”) (NYSE: GENI), a global leader in real-time sports data, today announced an agreement with Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market. The partnership provides exclusive streaming rights and league IP across selected official competitions, alongside off…
Kalshi and Polymarket saw their combined trading volume soar to a new all-time high in July as prediction markets continued to gain steam around the World Cup.According to The Block's data dashboard, Kalshi, Polymarket, and Polymarket US posted $50.59 billion in combined monthly trading volume in J…
Polymarket, Polymarket US, and Kalshi posted a record combined trading volume of $50.6 billion in July. According to Odaily, Polymarket US trading volume rose 54% to $5 billion, while Polymarket trading volume fell 26% to $7.9 billion.
A US federal judge has temporarily blocked Minnesota from enforcing its new prediction market ban against CFTC-regulated platforms Kalshi and Polymarket US.According to a July 27 court order granting the plaintiffs’ motions for preliminary injunctions, US District Judge Katherine Menendez found tha…
Polymarket’s "Pittsburgh Pirates" option in the "Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" submarket under "Spread -1.5" fell sharply from 31% one hour earlier to 10.5%, a 20.5 percentage point drop. According to ChainCatcher, the move reflects a sudden swing in the prediction market and may be affected…
France's gaming authority decided to block access to Polymarket's website, and now the prediction market says it plans to challenge that decision."We are disappointed by the French gaming authority’s (ANJ’s) sudden decision to unilaterally block our website — we intend to challenge this decision th…
The Pittsburgh Pirates option in Polymarket’s Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees market fell to 12.5% from 46.5% an hour earlier, a 34% swing. According to ChainCatcher, the move was flagged by Catcher Predict monitoring, which noted that related breaking news may have influenced the change.
Polymarket's "Enzo Fernandez: 2+ Shots on Target" yes option in the Spain vs. Argentina player performance market swung sharply, rising from 8% one hour earlier to 35.5% at the time of monitoring. According to ChainCatcher, the move represented a 27.5 percentage point increase, and related breaking…
Prediction market Polymarket showed sharp volatility in the Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardians event, with the Pittsburgh Pirates option rising to 87.5% from 63.5% an hour earlier. According to ChainCatcher, the move reflects a 24% swing in the market and may be linked to breaking news deve…
The Polymarket submarket for whether the UFC Fight Night matchup between Kamaru Usman and Dricus du Plessis will be won by KO/TKO saw the probability of “Yes” fall sharply to 37% from 62.5% one hour earlier, a 25.5-point drop. According to ChainCatcher, Catcher Predict monitoring showed the swing w…
Polymarket's submarket for the Valorant matchup between G2 Esports and 100 Thieves saw sharp movement in the Map 3 total rounds over/under 21.5 market, with the over option rising from 50% one hour earlier to 90%.According to ChainCatcher, the move represented a 40 percentage-point swing in the pro…
France’s gambling regulator ordered internet service providers to block Polymarket on July 16, saying the prediction market is an illegal gambling site in France. according to CoinDesk, the Autorité Nationale des Jeux cited addictive mechanics, no self-exclusion tools and repeated efforts by French…
Polymarket’s France vs. England score prediction market is among the platform’s most actively traded events, with cumulative funds reaching $121 million. According to ChainCatcher, the most favored outcome is "other score," which currently has an implied win probability of about 14.5%.
On-chain data monitored by Catcher Predict showed a large capital movement on prediction market Polymarket. According to ChainCatcher, a whale placed a single $82,561 buy order in the France vs. England - More Market event on the "winning team" outcome, giving the contract an implied win probabilit…
The Over option in Polymarket’s Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankees O/U 9.5 submarket fell sharply from 45.5% one hour earlier to 16.5%, a 29 percentage point swing.According to ChainCatcher, Catcher Predict said the move was tied to a related breaking development.
Researchers at Stanford University and Singapore Management University found that Polymarket’s five-minute Bitcoin prediction markets create incentives for traders to manipulate spot prices around settlement, allowing sophisticated participants to profit at the expense of retail traders.The study e…
Polymarket-based DeFi startup Gondor has unveiled what it’s calling the first margin account for Polymarket, the largest fully blockchain-based prediction market.Gondor v1, announced via X on Monday, will enable users to cross-margin their Polymarket positions to "borrow against the entire portfoli…
Wall Street banks are restricting employee trading on prediction market platforms due to fears that they may use nonpublic information to trade event contracts.Goldman Sachs has reportedly banned its employees from trading on event contracts that are specific to the bank, including financial market…
North Carolina has enacted legislation that explicitly recognizes federal authority over prediction markets while imposing a tax rate lower than that on sports betting platforms.On July 7, Governor Josh Stein signed Senate Bill 257 as part of the state's 2026 budget bill.The legislation states that…
