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Pantheon Has Stark Take on The U.S. Economy

The U.S. economy's second-quarter resilience could fade rapidly, Pantheon Macroeconomics warned, as a temporary consumer boost disappears and artificial-intelligence spending masks weakness across much of the private sector. The slowdown could pressure consumer, industrial and small-cap stocks whil…

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EconomyStocksUS

Fed Divide Widens As Dissenters Publicly Push For Rate Hikes To Tame Inflation — Hammack Says 'Now Is The Time' To Act

Federal Reserve officials who dissented with the central bank's decision to hold interest rates steady earlier this week publicly defended their stance on Friday, arguing that the central bank should begin raising rates now to prevent inflation from becoming more entrenched.According to a CNBC repo…

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BondsEconomy
gurufocus

Fed Decision Exposes Deepening Split Over Rates

The Federal Reserve held its benchmark interest rate at 3.50% to 3.75% for a fifth consecutive meeting Wednesday, but three officials demanded a quarter-point increase, delivering the clearest signal yet that the central bank's next move could be a hike rather than the cut investors once expected.T…

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BondsEconomy

Fed’s Kevin Warsh Faces Oil-Driven Inflation Test — Jeremy Siegel Sees 5%-10% Upside For Markets If Strait Of Hormuz Reopens

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's upcoming press conference on Wednesday will be in focus this week, according to Jeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, who said the central bank's assessment of rising oil prices could shape in…

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Economy
stocktwits

Trump Threatens To Destroy Bridges, Power Plants Every Time Iran Attacks Ships In Strait Of Hormuz — Crude Oil Prices Soar To Highest Levels Since June 10

President Donald Trump on Wednesday threatened to destroy a bridge or a power plant in Iran every time the country shoots at a ship in the Strait of Hormuz.Trump’s warning comes amid a rise in hostilities between the U.S. and Iran, with the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps claiming that they targe…

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Futuresindex

Fed's Williams Sees ‘Encouraging Signs’ That Inflation Has Likely Peaked, But Flags AI-Driven Price Pressures

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said on Wednesday that he sees “encouraging signs” that inflation has likely peaked and should gradually ease in the coming quarters.Speaking at the Partnership for New York City, Williams also warned that the ongoing AI investment boom is co…

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Economy
stocktwits

Trump Replaces Proposed 20% Strait Of Hormuz Toll With Investment Deals With Gulf States — ‘Those Investments Will Be Massive’

President Donald Trump on Tuesday announced that he has decided to replace the proposed 20% toll on all cargo flowing through the Strait of Hormuz with investment deals with Gulf states.Trump said in a post on Truth Social that he made the decision following “highly productive conversations” with t…

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ETFsFutures

Kevin Warsh Says Fed Has 'No Tolerance' For Persistently High Inflation, Promises Inflation Surge Will Become A 'Thing Of The Past'

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh on Tuesday said that the central bank has “no tolerance” for persistently high inflation. In prepared remarks ahead of his congressional testimony, Warsh promised that the inflation surge will be a “thing of the past.”“The Fed's number one objective is to get monet…

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Economy

CPI Report Today: Fed Has 'Little Reason' To Raise Rates, Says Wharton's Jeremy Siegel — But It Depends On Where Oil Prices Go

Jeremy Siegel, professor emeritus of finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, on Tuesday said that the Federal Reserve has "little reason" to raise interest rates further ahead of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report today, arguing that stable oil prices and increasi…

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EconomyETFsindex

Dow, S&P 500 Futures Slip While Nasdaq Holds Firm As Trump Reinstates Hormuz Blockade: ORCL, SOUN, QTTB, FAC In Focus

U.S. stock futures traded lower overnight late Monday after tensions between the U.S. and Iran escalated further, even as President Donald Trump reinstated the naval blockade of the Middle Eastern country in the Strait of Hormuz.Meanwhile, markets are expecting the first wave of corporate earnings…

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ETFsFuturesindex
stocktwits

El-Erian Explains Why Crude Prices Aren’t Soaring To High $80s Or $90s Despite Iran Conflict Heating Up – Markets Have ‘So Much Else’ To Focus

Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, explained on Monday that crude oil prices are not soaring into the high $80s or $90s per barrel because markets believe the ongoing skirmishes between the U.S. and Iran will be contained.During an interview with CNBC, El-Erian said that while the…

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ETFsFuturesindex

Fed Flags AI Demand, Middle East Conflict As Contributors To Inflation Pressures — FOMC Ready To Act 'Forcefully' To Keep Expectations Anchored

The Federal Reserve said in its latest Monetary Policy Report that demand for AI-related products and the Middle East conflict have added to inflationary pressures, while emphasizing that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) remains prepared to act "forcefully" to ensure longer-term inflation e…

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Economyindex