Most central European currencies were a touch weaker on Thursday as investors awaited data on U.S. non-farm payrolls later in the day for clues on the Federal Reserve's interest rates outlook.

  • "Today's non-farm payroll data, as well as durable goods orders from the U.S., may contribute to strengthening bonds in core markets and weakening the dollar," Bank Millennium analysts wrote in a note to clients.

  • The Polish zloty OANDA:EURPLN lost 0.1% to 4.2935 per euro at 0814 GMT after Tuesday's data showed inflation in Poland in June was lower than expected, leading markets to price out previously expected rate hikes and weakening the zloty.

  • However, the termination of a fuel price cap at the end of June resulted in a sharp increase in fuel prices at the pump, which may lead to an increase in inflation after surprisingly low readings in May and June, ING analysts warned, though they added the probability of any rate hikes by the central bank remained low.

  • Elsewhere, the Hungarian forint FX:EURHUF was down 0.2% at 355.50 per euro and the Czech crown OANDA:EURCZK remained stable on the day around 24.2260 per euro.

  • Hungary holds a bond auction later in the day, with the Government Debt Management Agency offering 10- and 15-year bonds at a total value of 45 billion forints.

  • Central Europe's currencies are mostly expected to firm in the next six months, led by the Polish zloty as investors focus more on domestic economic growth assuming the Middle East conflict eases, a Reuters poll showed on Wednesday.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1014 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2026

Czech crown

OANDA:EURCZK

24.2260

24.2280

+0.01%

-0.25%

Hungary forint

FX:EURHUF

355.5000

354.9000

-0.17%

+8.12%

Polish zloty

OANDA:EURPLN

4.2935

4.2900

-0.08%

-1.81%

Romanian leu

FOREXCOM:EURRON

5.2370

5.2265

-0.20%

-2.73%

Serbian dinar

FX_IDC:EURRSD

117.2600

117.3600

+0.09%

+0.03%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Prague

PSECZ:PX

2579.03

2570.8700

+0.32%

-3.97%

Budapest

BET:BUX

140385.66

139468.07

+0.66%

+26.44%

Warsaw

GPW:GPW

3628.88

3611.70

+0.48%

+13.97%

Bucharest

BVB:BET

33385.67

33077.97

+0.93%

+36.61%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

(CZ2YT=RR)

3.9045

-0.0025

+138bps

-1bps

Czech Rep 5-year

(CZ5YT=RR)

4.1019

-0.0085

+148bps

-4bps

Czech Rep 10-year

(CZ10YT=RR)

4.5983

-0.0285

+164bps

-6bps

Poland 2-year

(PL2YT=RR)

4.0430

-0.0320

+152bps

-4bps

Poland 5-year

(PL5YT=RR)

4.7180

-0.0590

+209bps

-9bps

Poland 10-year

(PL10YT=RR)

5.2750

-0.0120

+232bps

-4bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

(CZKFRA), (PRIBOR=)

4.02

4.12

4.16

3.83

Poland

(PLNFRA), (WIBOR=)

3.84

3.82

3.81

3.85

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices