Second-quarter results from Europe's energy companies will be characterized by higher oil and gas prices, elevated refining margins and good trading performances, UBS analyst Joshua Stone writes. Oil prices are falling, though. Market watchers are shifting their attention to the prospects of a supply glut next year as the Strait of Hormuz quickly opens up, he writes. Brent crude should average $80 a barrel over the remainder of the year and $75 a barrel in 2027, he writes. Oil's price floor has been structurally raised given the need to refill global inventories, he adds. (adam.whittaker@wsj.com)