Private sector analysts polled by Mexico's central bank trimmed their inflation estimates for the end of this year, while holding their economic growth estimates, the bank said on Wednesday.
Headline inflation this year is now expected at 4.20%, down from the previous month's estimate of 4.35%, while core inflation is seen closing the year at 4.18%, compared to the previous forecast of 4.22%
For 2026, analysts see gross domestic product growth at just 1.10%, steady from the previous month's estimate.
Analysts do not foresee the Bank of Mexico making any more adjustments to the benchmark interest rate from the current 6.50% through the end of next year.
May June | Inflation, end year pct | 2026 4.35 4.20 | 2027 3.84 3.84 | Core inflation, end year | 2026 4.22 4.18 | 2027 3.86 3.80 | Economic growth, annual pct | 2026 1.10 1.10 | 2027 1.80 1.80 | Peso-dollar rate, end yr | 2026 17.95 17.88 | 2027 18.50 18.50 | Interbank lending rate | 2026 6.50 6.50 | 2027 6.50 6.50 |
The survey of 41 analysts was taken between June 16-26. The values shown are medians.