Overview

  • Athletic apparel giant's fiscal Q4 revenue fell 1% yr/yr but beat analyst expectations

  • Net income for fiscal Q4 surged, beating analyst expectations, driven by IEEPA tariff recovery

  • Company cited ongoing top-line headwinds, with declines in direct sales and weakness in China

Outlook

  • Nike did not provide specific guidance for the current quarter or fiscal year

Result Drivers

  • IEEPA TARIFF RECOVERY - Gross margin and net income benefited from expected recovery of IEEPA tariffs, adding about 900 basis points to gross margin and $0.52 to diluted EPS

  • DIRECT SALES DECLINE - NIKE Direct revenues fell 7% due to a 12% decrease in digital and 7% decrease in owned stores

  • WHOLESALE GROWTH - Wholesale revenues rose 4%, driven by growth in North America, partially offset by declines in Greater China

Company press release:

Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Revenue

Beat

$10.97 bln

$10.86 bln (24 Analysts)

Q4 EPS

$0.72

Q4 Net Income

Beat

$1.07 bln

$201.03 mln (22 Analysts)

Q4 Gross Margin

49.2%

Q4 Gross Profit

$5.39 bln

Q4 Pretax Profit

$1.33 bln

Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 15 "strong buy" or "buy", 24 "hold" and 2 "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the footwear peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Nike Inc is $52.65, about 26.9% above its June 29 closing price of $41.48

  • The stock recently traded at 22 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 29 three months ago

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